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Thursday, April 3, 2014

The road to the Indiana Derby.

         With less than three weeks till the first  MOFC League outing, it is time to get your bets down on who will be crowned champion while the odds are at their greatest for the bettor. Our Tournament Director, Curt Lindsay, known for his backwood brewing techniques, has cooked up a new League Day format for 2014. Leagues will held once a month, being  spread throughout the year. Check the website for 2014 schedule or call Curt at 574-529-2098. Let's hope the Leagues go down a little smoother than his moonshine. Here is the '14 future pool betting line. 
Each bettor will have 20 points to wager. Wagers can be placed on any one entry or spread out across the board with a minimum bet of 2 points to be placed on any one entry. Wagers can be placed via my email at no later than April 15th. Tie breakers will be your prediction of total of fish caught during Leagues. Bettors with the most points will be declared the winner. Prizes TBD. All wagers are for entertainment purposes only. No wagers will be made or paid in monetary form. Good luck!

   4-1  Curt Lindsey.
 Last year's dead heat co runner ran more events than any other entry. Clockers predict going the distance should be no problem based on recent workouts. Slow out of the gate but is known to rally late down the stretch. Likes the whip.

   5-1  Bill Kopp.      
After stewards inquiry, officially declared '13 money winner. If returns to the same form of May/June '13, it may be over before it starts. Has been known to come up short (29") when  money is on the line.  Some question if trainer C. Baxter's workout schedule may be too intense.

   6-1  Chae Dolsen
Perennial odds on favorite fell out of favor with book makers due to lack of participation in graded races last year. Could easily end up in the winner's circle if entered in at least half of the events on this years meet. Can rally between horses to best foes by 10 lengths or more  if shook at the quarter pole.

   7-1  Nikki Swain
 "Filly of The Year" winner in '13 is showing no sign of fatigue after grueling schedule  saw her compete all the way into November last year. Past performances proves she is easily favored over stable mate R. Swain. Look for her to be the morning line favorite at the LSC meet.

   8 -1  Isaac Mobley
Has the breeding to stay up with the front runners. Needs to compete more in '14 to be a serious threat. The Tippy track fits his running style the best so look for a strong finish there. Finished in the money  at Webster and Upper Long also.

   9-1  David Cates
With the scales of justice in one hand and a St. Croix in the other, it's silly not to think this local entry won't be somewhere near the lead in the end. Competing in other races, specifically the primary and general campaigns, probably will interfere with this season's title hunt. If returns to past form, this veteran should be an overlay at 9-1.

  9-1  John Dobry
Experience, stamina, pace and good instinct should've placed him higher up the board, but too many scratches last year has this entry right in the middle of the betting field. Will have a good showing on home track and Tippy. Needs to partner up well on LSC if planning on finishing in the money there.

  10-1  Garrett Graham
Lake county bred colt has a lot of pace. Goes well on Sawmill and Sechrist surfaces. Past performances on Tippy will alone makes him a good bet.

  11-1  Adam Wallace
Opened '14 campaign early with trips to out of state events. Constant fly-ins and jet lag drags this entry down in to the  double digit odds. New equipment should favor him over foes late as the long season takes its toll. Another LSC favorite.

  11-1  Jim Welsh
Finished in the money in '13. Seems to favor The Chain over others. With lack of experience, don't look for strong outings on smaller tracks. Being a shipper from the Illinois based stable may cause this gelding problems.

  12-1  Bill Bennett
Possible quarter crack injury after Indiana Musky Classic could've been the reason he wasn't entered again in '13. Look for him to make a full return in '14. Webster, Tippy favor his style. When in form this local competitor can run with the best. Sometimes a late scratch.

  12-1  Eric Fleming
Very good out of the gate. Look for him to start out strong early in the meet. Runs well on Webster and The Chain in Spring and Summer. As good a runner as any other local foes. Needs a better outcome down the Fall stretch if planning on winning it all. Easily can finish in the money, but best play is a Show bet.

  12-1  JR Cates
Young stud has the bloodline to win here. Broken equipment forced multiple scratches in '13. Sold off a lot of lures last month and may not have many left, but still should be a good bet. If used in an exacta bet with his father the payout could be monumental.

   12-1  Rick Swain
Over shadowed by his celebrated stable mate in '13. Managed to rally, completing a few impressive trips. Should've finished  higher in if wasn't under wraps. Look for this entry to fight back in '14.

  15-1  Jeff Iden
Impressed in '13 winning M.I. division title. Started slow last year but rallied big. LSC,  Webster fit his trolling style.

  2-1  Field or All Other
Field runners consist of all WLMC members not listed above due to not meeting the minimum required entries based on past performance records. Participation in 2 or more outings this year will make you eligible for the  2015 Future Pool. 

1 comment:

  1. Your a genius..and theres no gambling at Bushwood


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